Model Predictions
| Model | Old Dominion Monarchs | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.6% | 88.4% | +12.7 | ✓ (16.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.4% | 72.6% | +10.7 | ✓ (18.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +29 (84-55). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Old Dominion Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| En'Dya Buford * | 37 | 7-13 | 3-6 | 4-5 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Simaru Fields * | 23 | 3-14 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | -6 | - |
| Nevaeh Scott * | 22 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Riley Stack * | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Simone Cunningham * | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Dalanna Carter | 23 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Kelsey Thompson | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Hama'ya Fielder | 13 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Nakiyah Allen | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Laila Walker | 7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Jaylen Ponder | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Alisha Nunley | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Mariah Clayton | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Nisaa Muhammad | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wynter Rogers * | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Mia Tarver * | 21 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Zyion Shannon * | 20 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Marlie Dickerson * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Crislyn Rose * | 17 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Mimi McCollister | 22 | 6-9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Bella Weary | 21 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| D'Arrah Allen | 19 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Aniyah Ruddock | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Yves Cox | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Payton Fields | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter