Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Jackson State Lady Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.7% | 17.3% | -19.4 | ✓ (13.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 85.1% | 14.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 89.1% | 10.9% | -23.2 | ✓ (17.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 94.4% | 5.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 98.7% | 1.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 98.8% | 1.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 87.6% | 12.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Jackson State Lady Tigers -6 (69-75). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wynter Rogers * | 26 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Crislyn Rose * | 24 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Marlie Dickerson * | 24 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Zyion Shannon * | 20 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Mia Tarver * | 20 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| D'Arrah Allen | 19 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Bella Weary | 18 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 3-7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Mimi McCollister | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Aniyah Ruddock | 16 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Yves Cox | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
Jackson State Lady Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhema Pegues * | 33 | 7-11 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Mikayla Brown * | 28 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Jaileyah Cotton * | 28 | 5-13 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 0 | - |
| Derrica McCall * | 25 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Leianya Massenat * | 24 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Camryn O'Neil | 28 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Mariah Reed-Jones | 20 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Pierre-Noelle Tcheuhchoua | 14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter