Model Predictions
| Model | UT Martin Skyhawks | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.5% | 96.5% | +24.3 | ✓ (12.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.2% | 85.8% | +19.8 | ✓ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 8.8% | 91.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.0% | 95.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.7% | 95.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +12 (78-66). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UT Martin Skyhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenley McCarn * | 39 | 6-15 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Sidni Middleton * | 38 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Zy Thompson * | 35 | 10-11 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 37 | - |
| Norah Clark * | 31 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Brittani Wells * | 30 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Grace Billington | 17 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Kennedy Horton | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zyion Shannon * | 23 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Crislyn Rose * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Marlie Dickerson * | 23 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Wynter Rogers * | 21 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Mia Tarver * | 18 | 2-8 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Mimi McCollister | 20 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | - |
| D'Arrah Allen | 19 | 1-10 | 1-9 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Bella Weary | 17 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Payton Fields | 14 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Allyson Ferguson | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Yves Cox | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Aniyah Ruddock | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter