Model Predictions
| Model | Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.1% | 97.9% | +29.0 | ✓ (12.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.5% | 94.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.6% | 99.4% | +27.7 | ✓ (13.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 2.0% | 98.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 7.6% | 92.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +41 (75-34). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kahlen Norris * | 40 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -2 | -20.0 |
| Marina Artero * | 29 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -4.4 |
| Bianca Silva * | 22 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 5 | -3.0 |
| Mikaylah Manley * | 21 | 0-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -6 | -7.3 |
| Imani Daniel * | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | +1.6 |
| Amijah Price | 30 | 4-15 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 10 | 1 | -19.7 |
| Stephanie Mosley | 20 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -4 | -21.5 |
| Lily Ba | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -20.7 |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crislyn Rose * | 21 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | +13.2 |
| Zyion Shannon * | 21 | 4-13 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | +8.2 |
| Wynter Rogers * | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 17 | +12.4 |
| Marlie Dickerson * | 20 | 2-10 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +7.0 |
| Mia Tarver * | 18 | 5-10 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 11 | +13.4 |
| Bella Weary | 22 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 13 | +1.6 |
| Aniyah Ruddock | 20 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | +10.5 |
| Mimi McCollister | 19 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 9 | +6.9 |
| Yves Cox | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 | +6.0 |
| D'Arrah Allen | 15 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | +11.4 |
| Payton Fields | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.8 |
* = starter