Arkansas State Red Wolves
2026 Team Stats (62 games)
79.4
PPG
77.4
Opp
+6.4
Margin
41.5%
FG%
31.3%
3P%
73.7%
FT%
39.5
RPG
15.2
APG
15.9
TO
90.8
Pace
80.2
AdjO
80.1
AdjD
#159
Rank
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1005 (#173) | - |
| Bradley-Terry | 1041 (#137) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency | 1049 (#107) | - |
| Margin | +0.2 (#157) | HCA +2.2 |
| Margin Recency | +16.5 (#125) | HCA +2.5 |
| Pythagorean | 0.631 (#95) | - |
| Efficiency | 0.929 (#35) | NetEff +22.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 0.513 (#160) | AdjO 100.2 | AdjD 99.8 |
| Log Adjusted | 0.512 (#160) | AdjO 99.6 | AdjD 99.2 |
| Points Off/Def | 0.504 (#159) | AdjO 80.2 | AdjD 80.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency | 0.641 (#77) | AdjO 79.9 | AdjD 73.5 |
| Core Ensemble | 0.797 (#131) | Blend of elo, bradley_terry_recency, margin_recency, pythagorean_log_adjusted, points_off_def |
| Recency Ensemble | 0.770 (#122) | Blend of elo, bradley_terry_recency, margin_recency, pythagorean_log_adjusted, points_off_def_recency |
| KenPom Kitchen Sink | 0.939 (#169) | - |
| Dynamic BT | 1111 (#128) | HCA +45.0 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-03 | @ | Ohio | W | 89 - 85 |
| 2025-11-07 | @ | SFA | L | 65 - 90 |
| 2025-11-11 | @ | Missouri St. | W | 86 - 85 |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | Texas St. | W | 89 - 70 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Southern Miss. | W | 93 - 86 |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Arkansas Tech | W | 107 - 63 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | James Madison | L | 74 - 78 |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | Troy | W | 86 - 74 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Texas St. | W | 83 - 82 |
| 2026-01-15 | @ | South Alabama | L | 87 - 91 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Troy | L | 74 - 99 |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | Ga. Southern | W | 85 - 68 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Georgia St. | L | 81 - 82 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Old Dominion | L | 71 - 75 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Marshall | L | 61 - 70 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Coastal Carolina | W | 70 - 66 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Bowling Green | W | 91 - 54 |
| 2026-02-11 | vs | ULM | W | 103 - 70 |
| 2026-02-14 | vs | South Alabama | L | 88 - 92 |
| 2026-02-19 | @ | Louisiana | W | 79 - 62 |
| 2026-02-21 | @ | ULM | W | 102 - 94 |
| 2026-02-24 | vs | Southern Miss. | W | 89 - 84 |
| 2026-02-27 | vs | Louisiana | W | 81 - 58 |
| 2026-03-05 | vs | Ga. Southern | L | 77 - 80 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles, with four dividers separating the position buckets.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Harmon | G | 24 | 32.4 | 14.8 | 4.4 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 11.8 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 37.6 | 35.0 | 82.7 | - | 56.0 | 51.2 |
| Matt Hayman | - | 23 | 25.9 | 14.0 | 3.6 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 12.1 | 7.6 | - | - | - | 40.9 | 37.6 | 77.3 | - | 53.8 | 51.4 |
| Chandler Jackson | G | 24 | 28.7 | 12.5 | 3.7 | 5.0 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 2.3 | 8.2 | 11.8 | - | - | - | 51.5 | 30.6 | 67.2 | - | 59.7 | 55.3 |
| Joey Chammaa | G | 21 | 19.6 | 11.7 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 5.9 | 9.7 | - | - | - | 43.1 | 36.9 | 82.9 | - | 66.6 | 52.8 |
| Jalen Hampton | G | 23 | 32.0 | 10.9 | 10.7 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 7.8 | 15.2 | - | - | - | 55.3 | 29.0 | 71.7 | - | 60.9 | 57.8 |
| Jaxon Ellingsworth | F | 24 | 23.6 | 10.1 | 5.1 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 6.9 | 8.3 | - | - | - | 47.9 | 37.0 | 78.1 | - | 61.4 | 56.1 |
| TJ Caldwell | G | 24 | 20.8 | 9.7 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 7.5 | 5.6 | - | - | - | 38.3 | 34.9 | 82.4 | - | 55.3 | 48.9 |
| Aly Tounkara | F | 24 | 22.0 | 5.0 | 6.5 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 3.8 | 9.1 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 0 | 34.4 | - | 57.2 | 60.0 |
| Fredy-Salam Sylla | - | 14 | 12.8 | 4.9 | 2.1 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 4.4 | 2.6 | - | - | - | 43.5 | 23.3 | 50.0 | - | 50.0 | 49.2 |
| Chudi Dioramma | F | 18 | 15.0 | 4.8 | 4.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 3.4 | 6.2 | - | - | - | 55.7 | 0 | 60.0 | - | 58.0 | 55.7 |
| Royal Blue Smith | - | 20 | 12.5 | 4.7 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 3.7 | 3.6 | - | - | - | 39.2 | 33.3 | 60.0 | - | 53.3 | 50.7 |
CJ Geathers
|
G | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Grayson Bennett
|
F | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Rho Omed | F | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Weston Honeycutt
|
G | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG