Arkansas State Red Wolves
2026 Team Stats (32 games)
83.0
PPG
77.2
Opp
+5.8
Margin
45.1%
FG%
33.3%
3P%
73.3%
FT%
41.3
RPG
15.8
APG
14.3
TO
72.7
Est. poss./game
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1056 (#123) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1063 (#123) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1043 (#110) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +1.0 (#153) | - |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +2.6 (#129) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.687 (#81) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | Unavailable | Not published: possession data incomplete for 2025-26 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | Unavailable | Not published: possession data incomplete for 2025-26 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | Unavailable | Not published: possession data incomplete for 2025-26 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.530 (#148) | - |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.587 (#86) | - |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | Unavailable | Not published: possession data incomplete for 2025-26 |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | Unavailable | Not published: possession data incomplete for 2025-26 |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1037 (#148) | - |
2026 Schedule & Results
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Christian Harmon
|
- | 32 | 27.5 | 12.8 | 3.7 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 10.1 | 7.9 | 152 | 27 | 5.6 | 8.6 | 39.1 | 34.6 | 81.8 | 3.55 | 56.6 | 52.2 |
K. Hayman
|
- | 31 | 22.7 | 11.7 | 3.1 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 10.5 | 5.9 | 52 | 26 | 2.0 | 3.7 | 40.7 | 33.2 | 79.5 | -2.44 | 52.3 | 50.0 |
Chandler Jackson
|
G | 32 | 26.9 | 10.6 | 3.4 | 4.6 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 7.3 | 10.4 | 116 | 27 | 4.3 | 6.7 | 48.7 | 25.9 | 70.5 | 0.03 | 57.6 | 51.7 |
Joey Chammaa
|
- | 21 | 16.9 | 9.9 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 5.0 | 8.3 | -6 | 17 | -0.4 | -0.9 | 42.3 | 32.7 | 81.5 | -2.12 | 65.3 | 51.0 |
Jaxon Ellingsworth
|
F | 32 | 22.7 | 9.7 | 4.8 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 6.9 | 7.9 | 28 | 27 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 47.3 | 34.7 | 75.6 | 0.5 | 59.5 | 54.8 |
TJ Caldwell
|
- | 32 | 20.2 | 9.4 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 7.3 | 5.4 | -20 | 27 | -0.7 | -1.5 | 39.1 | 33.8 | 82.8 | -4.2 | 54.9 | 48.5 |
Jalen Hampton
|
G | 30 | 26.2 | 8.3 | 9.0 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 5.8 | 12.8 | 120 | 26 | 4.6 | 7.4 | 55.7 | 32.3 | 75.0 | 1.06 | 62.1 | 58.6 |
Royal Blue Smith
|
- | 27 | 13.1 | 5.4 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 4.3 | 3.6 | 4 | 22 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 44.0 | 36.1 | 53.1 | -1.35 | 55.7 | 55.2 |
Chudi Dioramma
|
- | 25 | 15.5 | 5.1 | 4.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 3.7 | 6.1 | 46 | 22 | 2.1 | 5.6 | 50.5 | 0 | 66.0 | 1.32 | 55.2 | 50.5 |
Aly Tounkara
|
- | 32 | 18.2 | 4.2 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 7.7 | 35 | 27 | 1.3 | 3.1 | 62.9 | 0 | 36.8 | -1.51 | 59.8 | 62.9 |
Fredy-Salam Sylla
|
- | 18 | 10.7 | 4.0 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 3.7 | 2.2 | 3 | 15 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 42.4 | 25.0 | 50.0 | -1.37 | 49.3 | 48.5 |
Grayson Bennett
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
CJ Geathers
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Weston Honeycutt
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Tim Matthews
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Rho Omed
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Alumni in the Pros
Former Arkansas State Red Wolves players in NBA 2026-2027, G League 2025-2026, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Arkansas State Red Wolves game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.
Active alumni
| Player | At School | League | Team | GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norchad Omier | 2020-22 | G League | San Diego Clippers (2 teams) | 24 | 30.6 | 18.3 | 12.0 | 2.5 |
Alumni around the leagues: recent games
| Date | Player | League | Team | Opponent | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | Box |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Norchad Omier | NBA Preseason | Minnesota Timberwolves | @ Chicago Bulls | 10 | 0 | 4 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-10-14 | Norchad Omier | NBA Preseason | Minnesota Timberwolves | vs Detroit Pistons | 7 | 0 | 5 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-10-12 | Norchad Omier | NBA Preseason | Minnesota Timberwolves | @ New York Knicks | 6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | Box |
2025-2026 Shot Zones
1987 located field-goal attempts in 32 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Christian HarmonK. HaymanChandler JacksonTJ CaldwellJalen HamptonJoey Chammaa
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 289-423 | 68.3 | 578 | Jalen Hampton 19% (108 pts) | Aly Tounkara 13% (74 pts) | Jalen Hampton 19% (25 misses) | Chudi Dioramma 13% (17 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 289-585 | 49.4 | 578 | Chandler Jackson 22% (126 pts) | K. Hayman 13% (74 pts) | Chandler Jackson 19% (57 misses) | K. Hayman 15% (43 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 8-42 | 19.0 | 16 | Chandler Jackson 25% (4 pts) | Joey Chammaa 25% (4 pts) | K. Hayman 29% (10 misses) | Christian Harmon 21% (7 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 0-1 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Joey Chammaa 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Mid-range right | 13-41 | 31.7 | 26 | Christian Harmon 38% (10 pts) | Chandler Jackson 15% (4 pts) | TJ Caldwell 36% (10 misses) | Christian Harmon 18% (5 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 28-83 | 33.7 | 84 | Christian Harmon 36% (30 pts) | Chandler Jackson 11% (9 pts) | Christian Harmon 16% (9 misses) | Jaxon Ellingsworth 16% (9 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 17-65 | 26.2 | 51 | Christian Harmon 24% (12 pts) | Jaxon Ellingsworth 24% (12 pts) | K. Hayman 25% (12 misses) | Christian Harmon 19% (9 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 104-299 | 34.8 | 312 | K. Hayman 24% (75 pts) | Christian Harmon 23% (72 pts) | Christian Harmon 28% (54 misses) | K. Hayman 24% (46 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 56-161 | 34.8 | 168 | Christian Harmon 34% (57 pts) | K. Hayman 21% (36 pts) | Christian Harmon 31% (33 misses) | K. Hayman 21% (22 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 93-287 | 32.4 | 279 | Christian Harmon 29% (81 pts) | K. Hayman 19% (54 pts) | Christian Harmon 28% (54 misses) | K. Hayman 17% (33 misses) |