Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.8% | 31.2% | -4.3 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 92.2% | 7.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.6% | 23.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Coastal Carolina Chanticleers -4 (66-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Harmon | 35 | 6-11 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| J. Hampton | 31 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 16 | - |
| C. Jackson | 30 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| A. Tounkara | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| K. Hayman | 22 | 4-10 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 4 | - |
| TJ Caldwell | 17 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| J. Chammaa | 14 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 5-8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | - |
| J. Ellingsworth | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Dioramma | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| R. Smith | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Jones | 36 | 2-10 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| J. Beadle | 34 | 7-15 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 16 | -1 | - |
| R. Hill | 33 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| AJ Dancler | 33 | 4-15 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | - |
| N. Peat | 29 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | - |
| T. Thompson | 11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| D. Green | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| B. MacVicar | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| D. Craig | 6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Ngopot | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
* = starter