Model Predictions
| Model | Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.8% | 92.2% | +13.6 | ✓ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.6% | 94.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.5% | 94.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +23 (81-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Olvera | 33 | 5-17 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| D. Lavergne | 32 | 4-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| K. Bilal | 30 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 7-11 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| M. Mejia | 28 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Woodson | 27 | 2-8 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| M. Collins | 20 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| J. Evans | 14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| T. Jones | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| K. Ratliff | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Mouton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Landry | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Myers | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hampton | 32 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| A. Tounkara | 28 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| TJ Caldwell | 25 | 6-10 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 15 | - |
| K. Hayman | 24 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| C. Harmon | 23 | 1-8 | 1-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. Ellingsworth | 21 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| C. Jackson | 18 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Chammaa | 16 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| R. Smith | 11 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| F. Sylla | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter