🐻⬇️🏀

Arkansas State Red Wolves 87
@
South Alabama Jaguars 91
2026-01-15

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas State Red Wolves South Alabama Jaguars Spread Result
Elo 51.4% 48.6% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 50.1% 49.9% - ✗
Margin 53.1% 46.9% -0.7 ✗ (4.7 off)
Pythagorean 50.4% 49.6% - ✗
Points Off/Def 51.0% 49.0% - ✗

Actual: South Alabama Jaguars +4 (91-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas State Red Wolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Ellingsworth 31 8-14 1-3 1-1 13 0 0 0 1 18 16 +2.3
K. Hayman 28 5-11 3-9 2-2 3 4 0 0 4 15 7 -
C. Jackson 28 2-4 0-0 2-2 6 4 1 0 5 6 8 -
R. Smith 26 6-14 6-13 0-0 4 3 1 0 2 18 10 -1.7
C. Harmon 24 2-9 1-8 0-0 4 5 0 0 1 5 4 -
C. Dioramma 20 4-5 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 0 0 9 8 -2.0
A. Tounkara 20 2-2 0-0 0-1 7 0 0 0 0 4 9 +2.1
J. Hampton 18 0-2 0-0 2-2 4 2 0 0 2 2 4 -2.8
TJ Caldwell 17 2-5 2-5 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 6 4 -
J. Chammaa 13 0-6 0-6 4-5 0 1 1 0 2 4 -2 +1.0

South Alabama Jaguars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Harris 40 14-25 0-4 10-15 6 5 3 0 2 38 25 +1.0
A. Olsen 40 4-12 2-7 4-6 4 0 1 1 1 14 7 +6.8
J. Cooper 38 3-12 1-8 4-6 2 1 2 0 0 11 4 +0.6
H. Louis-Jeune 34 4-7 2-5 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 10 6 +0.2
R. Brady 27 1-2 1-1 2-2 9 3 1 1 0 5 17 +0.6
S. Williams 16 3-4 0-0 1-1 5 1 0 0 0 7 9 -6.0
J. Broom 16 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 +0.0
JJ Wheat 14 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 2 3 0 1 4 6 -0.0

* = starter