Model Predictions
| Model | Old Dominion Monarchs | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 17.6% | 82.4% | +8.5 | ✗ (12.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves -4 (71-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Old Dominion Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KC Shaw | 34 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | +0.1 |
| R. Davis Jr. | 34 | 2-10 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -5 | -2.9 |
| J. Battle | 32 | 5-8 | 5-8 | 5-6 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 19 | +0.2 |
| LJ Thomas | 27 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | +3.0 |
| C. Swanton-Rodger | 25 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 15 | +4.1 |
| J. Turner | 19 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +0.2 |
| Z. Wiggins | 15 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| D. McKenna | 9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -5.9 |
| S. Hubbard | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +2.0 |
| D. Raymond | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Harmon | 34 | 6-13 | 4-9 | 4-6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 14 | - |
| J. Hampton | 32 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 16 | -0.2 |
| C. Jackson | 26 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| TJ Caldwell | 26 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| A. Tounkara | 22 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4.2 |
| K. Hayman | 19 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| J. Ellingsworth | 17 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -0.0 |
| J. Chammaa | 11 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -1.2 |
| C. Dioramma | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +3.8 |
| R. Smith | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +0.0 |
* = starter