Model Predictions
| Model | North Dakota State Bison | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.0% | 48.0% | -0.4 | ✗ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 6.4% | 93.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +5 (85-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Dakota State Bison
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Stefonowicz * | 40 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | +4.7 |
| T. Carson * | 39 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | +5.4 |
| D. Wheeler-Thomas * | 37 | 7-13 | 3-6 | 11-14 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 24 | -2.8 |
| N. Feddersen * | 30 | 3-11 | 2-4 | 4-7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 8 | -0.6 |
| M. Strickland * | 20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | -0.0 |
| C. Smith | 25 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| T. Smith | 19 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| T. Anderson | 15 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | -2.1 |
| R. Massey | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Jackson * | 36 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| TJ Caldwell * | 29 | 6-11 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - |
| C. Harmon * | 28 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| J. Ellingsworth * | 25 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | -9.7 |
| A. Tounkara * | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -3.9 |
| K. Hayman | 26 | 4-13 | 3-10 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| J. Hampton | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 14 | +11.2 |
| C. Dioramma | 23 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 13 | +7.0 |
| R. Smith | 17 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | +13.1 |
* = starter