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Arkansas State

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Arkansas State Red Wolves
Program History
Coach: Ryan Pannone

2027 Team Stats (1 games)

71.0
PPG
70.0
Opp
+1.0
Margin
35.7%
FG%
29.7%
3P%
43.5%
FT%
46.0
RPG
15.0
APG
10.0
TO
72.1
Est. poss./game
62.2
Adj PPG
67.6
Adj Opp PPG
#228
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 930 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1020, returning -73, transfers -9, freshmen -7 More → 939 (#169) Preseason prior 930 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1020, returning -73, transfers -9, freshmen -7
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1023 (#123) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +268 elo More → 1024 (#24) HCA +268 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +16.9 More → -7.7 (#306) HCA +16.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +16.1 More → -7.4 (#191) HCA +16.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.541 (#140) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +1.3 More → 0.541 (#140) NetEff +1.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +0.5 More → 0.514 (#141) AdjNet +0.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +0.5 More → 0.514 (#141) AdjNet +0.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 62.2 | AdjD 67.6 More → 0.379 (#228) AdjO 62.2 | AdjD 67.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 62.6 | AdjD 67.7 More → 0.385 (#194) AdjO 62.6 | AdjD 67.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.460 (#145) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.460 (#145) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 218 | GP 1 More → 1096 (#54) RD 218 | GP 1

2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 vs Toledo Rockets W 71 - 70
2026-11-06 @ Alabama Crimson Tide - Preview
2026-11-10 vs UT Martin Skyhawks - Preview

2027 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Tameron Ferguson Tameron Ferguson G 1 32.0 20.0 7.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 23.0 - - - - 80.0 60.0 25.0 - 85.0 95.0
Layne Taylor Layne Taylor G 1 30.0 13.0 4.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 13.0 9.0 - - - - 38.5 33.3 0 - 50.0 50.0
Aaron McGee Aaron McGee G 1 16.0 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 3.0 - - - - 57.1 50.0 50.0 - 69.8 71.4
Jordan Pyke Jordan Pyke F 1 22.0 11.0 9.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 7.0 16.0 - - - - 57.1 50.0 33.3 - 57.1 64.3
Royal Blue Smith Royal Blue Smith G 1 23.0 5.0 5.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 12.0 4.0 - - - - 16.7 20.0 0.0 - 19.4 20.8
Amadou Doumbia Amadou Doumbia F 1 25.0 5.0 9.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 10.0 5.0 - - - - 20.0 25.0 0.0 - 23.9 25.0
Delang Muon Delang Muon F 1 19.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 5.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 75.0 - 31.5 0.0
Aliou Maiga Aliou Maiga F 1 14.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 4.0 - - - - 0.0 0 100.0 - 34.7 0.0
Chaz Watson Chaz Watson G 1 16.0 1.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 -2.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 50.0 - 7.3 0.0
Grayson Bennett Grayson Bennett F 1 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
CJ Geathers CJ Geathers G 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Rho Omed Rho Omed F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Diggy Coleman Diggy Coleman G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Anthony Hester Anthony Hester G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Moussa Sy Moussa Sy F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

Alumni in the Pros

Every program's alumni →

Former Arkansas State players in NBA 2026-2027, G League 2025-2026, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Arkansas State game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.

Active alumni

Player At School League Team GP MPG PPG RPG APG Last game Last 30 days
Norchad Omier 2020-22 G League San Diego Clippers (2 teams) 27 31.0 19.3 12.4 2.7 04-01 16 pts, 13 reb, 1 ast Playoffs no games

Alumni around the leagues: recent games

Date Player League Team Opponent MIN PTS REB AST Box
2026-10-16 Norchad Omier NBA Preseason Minnesota Timberwolves @ Chicago Bulls 10 0 4 2 Box
2026-10-14 Norchad Omier NBA Preseason Minnesota Timberwolves vs Detroit Pistons 7 0 5 1 Box
2026-10-12 Norchad Omier NBA Preseason Minnesota Timberwolves @ New York Knicks 6 2 4 1 Box

2026-2027 Shot Zones

70 located field-goal attempts in 1 game (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Pyke33% Ferguson40% Taylor100% McGee50% Ferguson50% Pyke50% McGee33%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Doumbia50% Doumbia21% Smith100% Pyke50% Watson50% Watson22% Doumbia50% Watson33%
Misses: who misses most here

Tameron FergusonLayne TaylorAaron McGeeJordan PykeAmadou DoumbiaRoyal Blue SmithChaz Watson

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 3-7 42.9 6 Jordan Pyke 33% (2 pts) Layne Taylor 33% (2 pts) Amadou Doumbia 50% (2 misses) Royal Blue Smith 50% (2 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 10-24 41.7 20 Tameron Ferguson 40% (8 pts) Aaron McGee 20% (4 pts) Amadou Doumbia 21% (3 misses) Royal Blue Smith 21% (3 misses)
Mid-range left 1-1 100.0 2 Layne Taylor 100% (2 pts) - - -
Mid-range center 0-0 - 0 - - - -
Mid-range right 0-1 0.0 0 - - Royal Blue Smith 100% (1 misses) -
Left corner 3 0-2 0.0 0 - - Jordan Pyke 50% (1 misses) Layne Taylor 50% (1 misses)
Right corner 3 2-4 50.0 6 Aaron McGee 50% (3 pts) Layne Taylor 50% (3 pts) Chaz Watson 50% (1 misses) Layne Taylor 50% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left 4-13 30.8 12 Tameron Ferguson 50% (6 pts) Layne Taylor 25% (3 pts) Chaz Watson 22% (2 misses) Layne Taylor 22% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 center 2-6 33.3 6 Jordan Pyke 50% (3 pts) Layne Taylor 50% (3 pts) Amadou Doumbia 50% (2 misses) Aaron McGee 25% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 right 3-12 25.0 9 Aaron McGee 33% (3 pts) Amadou Doumbia 33% (3 pts) Chaz Watson 33% (3 misses) Royal Blue Smith 22% (2 misses)