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Model Predictions

Model UT Martin Skyhawks Arkansas Sta... Spread Projected
Elo
2026-27 ratings to date
17.5% (#304) 82.5% (#171) Arkansa... -10.0 70-80
Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
28.6% (#309) 71.4% (#174) - -
Margin
2026-27 ratings to date
4.4% (#315) 95.6% (#213) Arkansa... -17.0 -
Pythagorean
2026-27 ratings to date
41.5% (#239) 58.5% (#191) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2026-27 ratings to date
46.1% (#272) 53.9% (#189) - -
Log Adjusted
2026-27 ratings to date
45.9% (#272) 54.1% (#190) - -
Points Off/Def
2026-27 ratings to date
55.4% (#266) 44.6% (#214) - -

2026-27 ratings to date: Spread: 4.6 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.3-point home edge (2025-26 margin fit); projected score: 2025-26's average total of 150 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat UT Martin Skyhawks Arkansas Sta...
Games 1 2
PPG 98.0 78.5
FG% 47.0% 39.0%
3PT% 44.7% 34.2%
FT% 61.3% 43.6%
RPG 41.0 46.0
APG 18.0 17.0
SPG 5.0 11.0
BPG 5.0 3.5
TOPG 16.0 14.5

Efficiency Ratings

Metric UT Martin Skyhawks Arkansas Sta...
Adj. Off Eff 98.1 98.2
Adj. Def Eff 101.9 101.8
Adj. Net Eff -3.8 -3.6

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

UT Martin Skyhawks Top Players

No player data available

Arkansas State Red Wolves Top Players

No player data available