Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Alabama Crimson Tide | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.6% | 96.4% | +23.8 | ✓ (8.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.1% | 98.9% | +24.6 | ✓ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.3% | 91.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.4% | 91.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +15 (101-86). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Layne Taylor * | 35 | 7-12 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 18 | - |
| R. Smith * | 26 | 2-11 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Chaz Watson * | 24 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Amadou Doumbia * | 20 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 1-6 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Delang Muon * | 17 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Pyke | 19 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Aaron McGee | 15 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Grayson Bennett | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Aliou Maiga | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| CJ Geathers | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Rho Omed | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Diggy Coleman | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Anthony Hester | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amari Allen * | 31 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 7-8 | 13 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 29 | - |
| London Jemison * | 21 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Qayden Samuels * | 21 | 3-13 | 3-10 | 8-8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Drew Fielder * | 20 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Brandon Garrison * | 19 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Keitenn Bristow | 20 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Cole Cloer | 20 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Jamarion Davis-Fleming | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Tarris Bouie | 16 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Anderson Diaz | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -4 | - |
| TJ St. Louis | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Collins Onyejiaka | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Preston Murphy Jr. | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter