Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Miss Golden Eagles | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.0% | 78.0% | +7.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +5 (89-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Brumfield | 39 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 14 | - |
| T. Weeks | 38 | 8-17 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 13 | - |
| I. Taveras | 26 | 8-17 | 0-2 | 4-10 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 12 | - |
| D. Binet | 23 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - |
| C. Lewis | 22 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| T. Izay | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| D. Brandon | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| I. Hart | 17 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| C. Tramble | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Carruth | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hampton | 35 | 7-13 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 20 | - |
| C. Harmon | 31 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 6-7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| A. Tounkara | 26 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 9 | - |
| C. Jackson | 26 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 9 | - |
| J. Chammaa | 23 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 15-18 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 12 | - |
| K. Hayman | 21 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | - |
| TJ Caldwell | 19 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Ellingsworth | 19 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
* = starter