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Arkansas State Red Wolves 79
@
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 62
2026-02-19

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas State Red Wolves Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns Spread Result
Elo 66.5% 33.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 76.4% 23.6% - ✓
Margin 85.1% 14.9% -9.6 ✓ (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 76.3% 23.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 63.1% 36.9% - ✓

Actual: Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns -17 (62-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas State Red Wolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Jackson 35 13-16 1-1 4-8 5 2 0 0 2 31 20 -
C. Harmon 30 4-8 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 9 0 -
A. Tounkara 30 1-1 0-0 1-2 8 0 1 1 2 3 10 -
J. Hampton 28 5-8 0-0 2-2 12 1 0 0 2 12 15 -
K. Hayman 20 1-3 0-2 1-2 3 0 0 0 3 3 0 -
J. Ellingsworth 20 3-7 1-4 1-2 6 0 0 0 4 8 3 -
TJ Caldwell 19 0-3 0-3 4-4 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 -
J. Chammaa 12 1-1 0-0 7-8 2 2 0 0 1 9 11 -
R. Smith 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 0 3 -

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Bilal 34 1-6 1-3 0-0 6 0 2 0 1 3 4 -
D. Lavergne 34 6-15 0-2 1-2 3 3 0 0 0 13 4 -
D. Finister 34 7-15 1-3 3-3 3 2 2 0 0 18 10 -
J. Olvera 32 7-19 2-5 2-3 4 2 0 0 1 18 4 -
D. Woodson 18 1-6 1-4 2-2 2 0 1 1 1 5 2 -
M. Mejia 15 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 3 2 -
K. Ratliff 14 0-5 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -3 -
T. Jones 10 0-2 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
J. Evans 7 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 2 0 2 4 -
M. Collins 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter