Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 83.9% | 16.1% | -9.1 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.2% | 29.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.9% | 3.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.4% | 11.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.5% | 11.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns -17 (62-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Jackson | 35 | 13-16 | 1-1 | 4-8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 20 | - |
| C. Harmon | 30 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | - |
| A. Tounkara | 30 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | - |
| J. Hampton | 28 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| K. Hayman | 20 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J. Ellingsworth | 20 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 3 | - |
| TJ Caldwell | 19 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| J. Chammaa | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| R. Smith | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Bilal | 34 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| D. Lavergne | 34 | 6-15 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 4 | - |
| D. Finister | 34 | 7-15 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 10 | - |
| J. Olvera | 32 | 7-19 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 4 | - |
| D. Woodson | 18 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| M. Mejia | 15 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| K. Ratliff | 14 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| T. Jones | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Evans | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Collins | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter