Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Ohio Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.0% | 40.0% | -2.2 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 91.3% | 8.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ohio Bobcats -4 (85-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Jackson | 32 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 20 | - |
| C. Harmon | 29 | 0-10 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| J. Chammaa | 26 | 5-11 | 4-7 | 7-8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 15 | +2.1 |
| C. Dioramma | 23 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +2.1 |
| K. Hayman | 20 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 3 | - |
| J. Ellingsworth | 20 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 14 | +0.2 |
| J. Hampton | 19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | +2.2 |
| A. Tounkara | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | +0.1 |
| TJ Caldwell | 11 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| R. Smith | 4 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +0.2 |
Ohio Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Paveletzke | 39 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 6-7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 5 | -2.3 |
| A. Sheldon | 36 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | -0.2 |
| A. Hadaway | 35 | 12-16 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 20 | -0.2 |
| E. Elliott | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -2.1 |
| J. Simmons | 24 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 5-9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9 | -2.1 |
| D. Conners | 17 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | -2.2 |
| J. Breath | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -0.2 |
| K. Kuany | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -2.1 |
| J. Kelly | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter