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Virginia Cavaliers

Also known as: Virginia Cavaliers
Program History

2015 Team Stats (31 games)

65.8
PPG
51.7
Opp
+14.1
Margin
45.9%
FG%
35.8%
3P%
72.5%
FT%
36.1
RPG
12.8
APG
9.4
TO
69.1
Pace

Model Outputs

2014-2015
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1708 (#21) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1639 (#8) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +38.3 (#23) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.935 (#3) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +19.0 More → 0.904 (#3) NetEff +19.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +32.5 More → 0.978 (#1) AdjNet +32.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +33.1 More → 0.979 (#1) AdjNet +33.1

2015 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2014-11-14 @ James Madison Dukes W 79 - 51
2014-11-16 vs Norfolk State Spartans W 67 - 39
2014-11-18 vs South Carolina State Bulldogs W 75 - 55
2014-11-21 vs George Washington Revolutionaries W 59 - 42
2014-11-25 vs Tennessee State Tigers W 79 - 36
2014-12-06 @ VCU Rams W 74 - 57
2014-12-18 vs Cleveland State Vikings W 70 - 54
2014-12-21 vs Harvard Crimson W 76 - 27
2014-12-30 vs Davidson Wildcats W 83 - 72
2015-01-03 @ Miami Hurricanes W 89 - 80
2015-01-07 vs NC State Wolfpack W 61 - 51
2015-01-10 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish W 62 - 56
2015-01-13 vs Clemson Tigers W 65 - 42
2015-01-17 @ Boston College Eagles W 66 - 51
2015-01-22 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 57 - 28
2015-01-25 @ Virginia Tech Hokies W 50 - 47
2015-01-31 vs Duke Blue Devils L 63 - 69
2015-02-02 @ North Carolina Tar Heels W 75 - 64
2015-02-07 vs Louisville Cardinals W 52 - 47
2015-02-11 @ NC State Wolfpack W 51 - 47
2015-02-14 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 61 - 60
2015-02-16 vs Pittsburgh Panthers W 61 - 49
2015-02-22 vs Florida State Seminoles W 51 - 41
2015-02-25 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 70 - 34
2015-02-28 vs Virginia Tech Hokies W 69 - 57
2015-03-02 @ Syracuse Orange W 59 - 47
2015-03-07 @ Louisville Cardinals L 57 - 59
2015-03-12 vs Florida State Seminoles W 58 - 44
2015-03-13 vs North Carolina Tar Heels L 67 - 71
2015-03-20 vs Belmont Bruins W 79 - 67
2015-03-22 vs Michigan State Spartans L 54 - 60

2015 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
M. Brogdon M. Brogdon G 31 32.5 13.9 3.9 2.4 0.7 0.4 1.6 11.0 8.7 - - - 42.1 33.9 88.9 - 54.9 48.0
J. Anderson J. Anderson G 23 28.0 12.2 4.0 1.8 0.7 0.6 1.2 8.2 9.8 -11 -1.1 -1.6 46.6 46.9 78.7 0.77 63.1 58.5
A. Gill A. Gill F 31 24.9 11.5 6.4 0.9 0.8 0.5 1.2 7.2 11.6 - - - 57.6 0.0 66.9 - 61.7 57.6
D. Atkins D. Atkins F 30 24.3 8.0 6.1 0.7 0.7 1.1 1.1 7.0 8.5 - - - 51.2 0.0 52.1 - 51.9 51.2
L. Perrantes L. Perrantes G 29 33.3 6.9 2.6 4.6 0.9 0.2 1.6 6.2 7.5 - - - 36.9 32.6 76.9 - 49.8 45.0
M. Tobey M. Tobey C 31 17.0 6.8 5.0 0.4 0.2 0.6 0.8 5.3 6.9 - - - 52.1 0.0 75.5 - 56.4 52.1
M. Shayok M. Shayok G 31 14.3 3.7 1.7 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.6 3.3 3.4 - - - 39.8 37.0 63.0 - 50.5 48.1
E. Nolte E. Nolte F 30 18.2 3.2 1.6 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.4 3.0 2.8 - - - 36.7 29.4 64.3 - 49.4 47.8
Dallin Hall Dallin Hall G 20 11.8 1.9 0.8 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.6 1.9 1.6 26 3.2 6.3 39.5 33.3 40.0 1.19 46.0 46.1
I. Wilkins I. Wilkins F 26 9.7 1.8 2.6 0.4 0.2 0.7 0.5 1.8 3.3 - - - 41.3 66.7 54.5 - 45.2 43.5
B.J. Stith B.J. Stith G 11 5.5 1.2 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.0 - - - 38.5 16.7 66.7 - 45.4 42.3
R. Vozenilek R. Vozenilek G 11 1.9 0.5 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 - - - 50.0 33.3 0 - 62.5 62.5
J. Jones J. Jones F 8 1.6 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.6 28 2.3 3.0 50.0 0 0 1.3 50.0 50.0
C. Kirven C. Kirven F 9 1.9 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
M. Frazier M. Frazier G 9 1.8 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 - - - 50.0 0 0.0 1.04 41.0 50.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG