Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.2% | 75.8% | +6.3 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 6.5% | 93.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.5% | 92.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.1% | 92.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +5 (52-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Rozier * | 37 | 5-16 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 7 | - |
| C. Jones * | 36 | 5-14 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | - |
| W. Blackshear * | 35 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| M. Harrell * | 33 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| C. Onuaku * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Mathiang | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| S. Aaron | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Gill | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Mahmoud | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Johnson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Q. Snider | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Perrantes * | 38 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| M. Brogdon * | 38 | 3-13 | 1-6 | 8-10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 8 | - |
| D. Atkins * | 29 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| J. Anderson * | 16 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | - |
| M. Tobey * | 13 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| A. Gill | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| E. Nolte | 24 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| I. Wilkins | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Shayok | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter