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2015-02-07

Model Predictions

Model Louisville Cardinals Virginia Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 19.0% 81.0% -
Bradley-Terry 37.9% 62.1% -
Margin 24.2% 75.8% +6.3 (1.3 off)
Pythagorean 40.3% 59.7% -
Efficiency 6.5% 93.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 7.5% 92.5% -
Log Adjusted 7.1% 92.9% -

Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +5 (52-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Rozier * 37 5-16 0-3 6-7 5 5 1 0 4 16 7 -
C. Jones * 36 5-14 1-6 0-2 5 0 1 0 1 11 2 -
W. Blackshear * 35 2-4 2-3 2-2 7 0 0 0 0 8 11 -
M. Harrell * 33 5-8 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 1 2 12 9 -
C. Onuaku * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 -
M. Mathiang 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 0 6 -
S. Aaron 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. Gill 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. Mahmoud 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 2 -
J. Johnson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Q. Snider 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Perrantes * 38 1-8 0-3 2-2 3 6 2 1 1 4 7 -
M. Brogdon * 38 3-13 1-6 8-10 3 1 1 1 0 15 8 -
D. Atkins * 29 4-9 0-0 1-2 7 1 3 2 0 9 13 -
J. Anderson * 16 1-9 0-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 2 -4 -
M. Tobey * 13 4-4 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 9 9 -
A. Gill 28 3-5 0-0 4-6 8 0 1 0 0 10 14 -
E. Nolte 24 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
I. Wilkins 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Shayok 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter