Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.0% | 45.0% | -1.1 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 92.2% | 7.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.3% | 18.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.5% | 18.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack -4 (47-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Brogdon * | 38 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| L. Perrantes * | 34 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| M. Tobey * | 29 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| E. Nolte * | 24 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| D. Atkins * | 23 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Gill | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - |
| D. Hall | 12 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Shayok | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| I. Wilkins | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Barber * | 37 | 5-14 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | - |
| T. Lacey * | 35 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 2 | - |
| R. Turner * | 30 | 2-9 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| K. Washington * | 28 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| A. Abu * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| C. Martin | 26 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| B. Anya | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| C. Martin | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter