Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.4% | 77.6% | +6.8 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.8% | 98.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +10 (61-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Lacey * | 36 | 3-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| R. Turner * | 33 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| C. Barber * | 31 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| K. Washington * | 24 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| A. Abu * | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Martin | 28 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| B. Anya | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -3 | - |
| C. Martin | 14 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| L. Freeman | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Perrantes * | 35 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Brogdon * | 34 | 6-16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 4 | - |
| J. Anderson * | 33 | 5-14 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| A. Gill * | 32 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| D. Atkins * | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| M. Tobey | 24 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| M. Shayok | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| E. Nolte | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter