Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Tech Hokies | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.4% | 77.6% | +6.8 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 6.1% | 93.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +12 (69-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Tech Hokies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Wilson * | 40 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| A. Smith * | 36 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 15 | - |
| A. Hill * | 31 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| C. Beyer * | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| M. Muller * | 20 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| J. Bibbs | 20 | 1-10 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| J. Hudson | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Pierce | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| S. Henry | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| W. Johnston | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Brogdon * | 36 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 7-8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 16 | - |
| D. Atkins * | 34 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| E. Nolte * | 33 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| L. Perrantes * | 33 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| A. Gill * | 29 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| D. Hall | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| I. Wilkins | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| M. Tobey | 4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Shayok | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Frazier | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Vozenilek | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter