Model Predictions
| Model | Davidson Wildcats | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.0% | 84.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.8% | 89.2% | +11.6 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.4% | 97.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.1% | 97.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +11 (83-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Davidson Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Kalinoski * | 39 | 7-13 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Brian Sullivan * | 37 | 5-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Jack Gibbs * | 34 | 7-10 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Peyton Aldridge * | 32 | 2-10 | 0-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Nathan Ekwu * | 29 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Andrew McAuliffe | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Oskar Michelsen | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Perrantes * | 39 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| A. Gill * | 34 | 11-16 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 25 | - |
| M. Brogdon * | 34 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 12-12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| J. Anderson * | 33 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| M. Tobey * | 17 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D. Atkins | 18 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 16 | - |
| E. Nolte | 17 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Shayok | 6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Dallin Hall | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter