Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.8% | 74.2% | +6.9 | ✗ (12.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 23.2% | 76.8% | +6.6 | ✗ (12.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -6 (54-60). Ratings: 2014-15 season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Trice II * | 39 | 7-15 | 4-8 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 13 | - |
| Branden Dawson * | 34 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Denzel Valentine * | 21 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Gavin Schilling * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| L. Nairn Jr. * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Bryn Forbes | 27 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Matt Costello | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Marvin Clark II | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| A. Ellis III | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| London Perrantes * | 38 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Malcolm Brogdon * | 36 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Anthony Gill * | 30 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Darion Atkins * | 29 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Justin Anderson * | 25 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 4-7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Evan Nolte | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Marial Shayok | 15 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Mike Tobey | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter