Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.6% | 47.4% | -0.6 | ✗ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 87.5% | 12.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.5% | 13.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.9% | 13.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +2 (59-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Perrantes * | 37 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 9 | - |
| M. Brogdon * | 36 | 5-13 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 11 | - |
| E. Nolte * | 35 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| D. Atkins * | 31 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| A. Gill * | 23 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| M. Tobey | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| M. Shayok | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| I. Wilkins | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Rozier * | 40 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 14 | - |
| M. Harrell * | 37 | 7-14 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 20 | - |
| W. Blackshear * | 33 | 4-14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | -2 | - |
| Q. Snider * | 30 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| C. Onuaku * | 23 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| M. Mathiang | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| A. Gill | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Aaron | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Mahmoud | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Johnson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter