Model Predictions
| Model | Pittsburgh Panthers | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.1% | 84.9% | +9.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.4% | 98.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.3% | 98.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +12 (61-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pittsburgh Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Lecak | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Artis * | 38 | 6-11 | 4-8 | 4-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 17 | - |
| S. Jeter * | 28 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| C. Wright * | 26 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Robinson * | 26 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Young * | 21 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Jones | 30 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| J. Newkirk | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| D. Randall | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Perrantes * | 37 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| M. Brogdon * | 35 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 6-6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| D. Atkins * | 30 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| E. Nolte * | 28 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| A. Gill * | 26 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| M. Shayok | 21 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| M. Tobey | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| I. Wilkins | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter