Model Predictions
| Model | Harvard Crimson | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.4% | 95.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.9% | 97.1% | +19.4 | ✓ (29.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +49 (76-27). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Harvard Crimson
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Okolie * | 31 | 0-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| S. Chambers * | 30 | 0-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -9 | - |
| W. Saunders * | 27 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -4 | - |
| S. Moundou-Missi * | 25 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| K. Smith * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Miller | 21 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Z. Edosomwan | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| A. Chatfield | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Fraschilla | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| E. Cummins | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Egi | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Travis | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Z. Yoshor | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Brown | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Brogdon * | 28 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 19 | - |
| L. Perrantes * | 23 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Tobey * | 22 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 20 | - |
| J. Anderson * | 21 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| A. Gill * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| M. Shayok | 22 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| D. Hall | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| E. Nolte | 14 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| D. Atkins | 14 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| I. Wilkins | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| B.J. Stith | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| R. Vozenilek | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Jones | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Kirven | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Frazier | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter