Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Syracuse Orange | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.8% | 39.2% | -2.4 | ✓ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 76.0% | 24.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.6% | 4.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.2% | 7.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.4% | 7.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Syracuse Orange -12 (47-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Brogdon * | 38 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | -5 | - |
| L. Perrantes * | 37 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 18 | - |
| A. Gill * | 34 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 11 | - |
| E. Nolte * | 31 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| D. Atkins * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | - |
| M. Tobey | 16 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| M. Shayok | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Hall | 6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| I. Wilkins | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Vozenilek | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B.J. Stith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Syracuse Orange
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Cooney * | 40 | 5-12 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | - |
| M. Gbinije * | 40 | 2-11 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 4 | - |
| T. Roberson * | 40 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | - |
| R. Christmas * | 39 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| B. Johnson * | 30 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| R. Patterson | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| K. Joseph | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Obokoh | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter