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UCF

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: UCF Knights, UCF
Program History
Coach: Johnny Dawkins Jr

2026 Team Stats (32 games)

80.5
PPG
78.9
Opp
+1.6
Margin
46.0%
FG%
36.4%
3P%
72.3%
FT%
37.8
RPG
15.8
APG
11.4
TO
83.5
Pace
83.3
AdjO
70.5
AdjD
#52
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1087 (#109) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1246 (#33) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 1018 (#154) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → +12.7 (#53) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +23.0 (#67) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.607 (#106) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -45.9 More → 0.008 (#358) NetEff -45.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +16.7 More → 0.872 (#54) AdjNet +16.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +16.9 More → 0.875 (#54) AdjNet +16.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 83.3 | AdjD 70.5 More → 0.763 (#52) AdjO 83.3 | AdjD 70.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 78.1 | AdjD 74.0 More → 0.591 (#131) AdjO 78.1 | AdjD 74.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.875 (#66) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.836 (#70) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 112 | GP 32 More → 1199 (#65) RD 112 | GP 32

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Hofstra Pride W 82 - 78
2025-11-08 vs Vanderbilt Commodores L 93 - 105
2025-11-11 vs Florida A&M Rattlers W 97 - 60
2025-11-14 @ Texas A&M Aggies W 86 - 74
2025-11-17 vs Oakland Golden Grizzlies W 87 - 83
2025-11-20 vs Pittsburgh Panthers W 77 - 67
2025-11-25 vs Quinnipiac Bobcats W 102 - 91
2025-11-29 vs VMI Keydets W 82 - 57
2025-12-17 vs Mercer Bears W 81 - 63
2025-12-20 vs Florida Gulf Coast Eagles W 102 - 80
2025-12-23 vs Florida Atlantic Owls W 85 - 80
2026-01-03 vs Kansas Jayhawks W 81 - 75
2026-01-06 @ Oklahoma State Cowboys L 76 - 87
2026-01-11 vs Cincinnati Bearcats W 73 - 72
2026-01-14 @ Kansas State Wildcats W 82 - 73
2026-01-17 vs Arizona Wildcats L 77 - 84
2026-01-20 @ Iowa State Cyclones L 57 - 87
2026-01-24 @ Colorado Buffaloes W 95 - 86
2026-01-27 vs Arizona State Sun Devils W 79 - 76
2026-01-31 vs Texas Tech Red Raiders W 88 - 80
2026-02-04 @ Houston Cougars L 55 - 79
2026-02-08 @ Cincinnati Bearcats L 72 - 92
2026-02-14 vs West Virginia Mountaineers L 67 - 74
2026-02-17 vs TCU Horned Frogs W 82 - 71
2026-02-21 @ Utah Utes W 73 - 71
2026-02-24 @ BYU Cougars W 97 - 84
2026-02-28 vs Baylor Bears L 86 - 87
2026-03-03 vs Oklahoma State Cowboys L 104 - 111
2026-03-06 @ West Virginia Mountaineers L 62 - 77
2026-03-11 vs Cincinnati Bearcats W 66 - 65
2026-03-12 @ Arizona Wildcats L 59 - 81
2026-03-20 @ UCLA Bruins L 71 - 75

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
R. Kugel R. Kugel G 31 28.0 14.2 3.1 2.5 1.0 0.2 1.7 12.1 7.1 108 4.7 7.5 42.0 39.7 76.5 1.39 53.1 49.7
T. Fulks T. Fulks G 32 32.9 13.8 3.0 6.7 0.8 0.0 3.4 11.6 9.3 93 4.2 5.9 45.4 38.0 78.9 0.74 52.8 48.0
J. Burks J. Burks - 32 28.3 13.5 4.9 0.7 1.1 0.5 0.9 10.2 9.5 54 2.3 4.3 45.1 37.5 77.8 0.5 58.3 54.3
J. Stillwell J. Stillwell F 30 28.4 11.5 8.2 2.2 1.0 0.2 1.7 8.6 12.8 89 4.2 7.0 50.2 29.7 68.5 0.86 56.3 52.3
C. Johnson C. Johnson - 31 15.9 6.2 1.5 1.9 0.5 0.2 0.6 5.1 4.5 31 2.8 35.0 42.7 36.6 70.0 -0.28 55.0 52.2
J. Bol J. Bol C 32 18.8 5.9 5.6 0.3 0.3 1.1 1.1 3.4 8.6 57 2.6 7.3 71.8 0.0 62.0 0.77 71.6 71.8
Dev. Cambridge Dev. Cambridge - 32 17.6 5.5 3.6 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.6 4.1 6.5 65 3.1 7.1 44.6 27.9 70.5 0.69 56.1 51.2
C. Pacheco C. Pacheco - 30 15.7 4.6 1.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.2 3.8 2.4 20 0.9 2.6 39.1 38.7 100.0 0.13 58.2 57.0
G. Beale G. Beale G 24 8.2 3.6 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 3.6 1.2 -22 -3.7 -30.1 32.6 34.5 76.9 -0.38 46.9 44.2
J. Foumena J. Foumena C 25 9.4 3.4 2.4 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 2.7 3.1 -4 -0.2 -0.9 54.4 0.0 45.5 -0.22 54.1 54.4
K. Parker K. Parker G 21 5.8 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.7 1.1 1.1 -80 -4.0 -14.5 56.5 33.3 58.8 -0.38 62.3 60.9
E. Hulsewe E. Hulsewe - 16 4.8 1.0 1.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.6 2.1 -20 -2.0 -21.1 55.6 0 85.7 -0.41 66.2 55.6
P. Warakulnukroh P. Warakulnukroh - 3 1.7 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 1.0 -0.3 6 1.5 44.3 33.3 0 0 -0.04 33.3 33.3
Zachary Johnson Zachary Johnson - 6 1.3 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 -2 -0.3 -6.4 0.0 0.0 0 -0.14 0.0 0.0
Tanner Jones Tanner Jones G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 14 0.7 1.3 - - - 0.02 - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG