Model Predictions
| Model | Pittsburgh Panthers | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.1% | 79.9% | +8.9 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.7% | 77.3% | +6.7 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights +10 (77-67). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Pittsburgh Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Corhen * | 35 | 6-13 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 14 | +5.9 |
| Damarco Minor * | 33 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 13 | +6.0 |
| Brandin Cummings * | 30 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -1 | +6.4 |
| Omari Witherspoon * | 25 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | -9.7 |
| Roman Siulepa * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2.6 |
| Barry Dunning Jr. | 33 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 15 | +8.7 |
| Nojus Indrusaitis | 26 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | +4.9 |
| Papa Amadou Kante | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +5.8 |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Themus Fulks * | 33 | 7-12 | 3-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 8 | +5.8 |
| Jamichael Stillwell * | 32 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 15 | -7.1 |
| Riley Kugel * | 25 | 8-14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | -3.5 |
| Jordan Burks * | 24 | 4-9 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | -6.5 |
| John Bol * | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | +4.2 |
| Carmelo Pacheco | 23 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -1.8 |
| Dev. Cambridge | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | +5.7 |
| George Beale Jr. | 8 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | -9.1 |
| Kris Parker | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.5 |
| Chris Johnson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +2.0 |
| Jeremy Foumena | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2.3 |
* = starter