Model Predictions
| Model | Pittsburgh Panthers | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.5% | 79.5% | +7.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.8% | 3.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights +10 (77-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pittsburgh Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Corhen * | 35 | 6-13 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 14 | +2.7 |
| D. Minor * | 33 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 13 | +4.7 |
| B. Cummings * | 30 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -1 | -1.5 |
| O. Witherspoon * | 25 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | -1.7 |
| R. Siulepa * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1.1 |
| B. Dunning Jr. | 33 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 15 | +7.8 |
| N. Indrusaitis | 26 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | +8.1 |
| P. Amadou Kante | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +7.4 |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Fulks * | 33 | 7-12 | 3-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 8 | -2.0 |
| J. Stillwell * | 32 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 15 | -7.9 |
| R. Kugel * | 25 | 8-14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | -2.6 |
| J. Burks * | 24 | 4-9 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | -5.0 |
| J. Bol * | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | +6.2 |
| C. Pacheco | 23 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -4.7 |
| Dev. Cambridge | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | +4.6 |
| G. Beale | 8 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | -6.3 |
| K. Parker | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.3 |
| C. Johnson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2.2 |
| J. Foumena | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1.1 |
* = starter