Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | BYU Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | β |
| Margin | 15.4% | 84.6% | +9.4 | β (22.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | β |
Actual: BYU Cougars -13 (84-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Fulks | 34 | 10-21 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 24 | 12 | - |
| J. Burks | 31 | 9-12 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 18 | - |
| J. Stillwell | 29 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 24 | - |
| C. Johnson | 28 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| C. Pacheco | 20 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Bol | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Dev. Cambridge | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| G. Beale | 11 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| J. Foumena | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Parker | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Kugel | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
BYU Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Dybantsa | 36 | 11-22 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 12 | - |
| R. Wright III | 35 | 7-21 | 1-6 | 5-6 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 10 | - |
| A. KostiΔ | 27 | 5-12 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| K. Davis Jr. | 27 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| M. Boskovic | 20 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| T. Mrus | 18 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 14 | - |
| K. Keita | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Mboup | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Ahmed | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Diomande | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter