Model Predictions
| Model | Vanderbilt Commodores | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.1% | 32.9% | -7.1 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 79.3% | 20.7% | -7.4 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 82.7% | 17.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.4% | 18.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.7% | 18.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights -12 (93-105). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Vanderbilt Commodores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Nickel * | 32 | 6-10 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | +4.3 |
| Duke Miles * | 29 | 8-13 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 10 | +13.2 |
| Tyler Tanner * | 24 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 15 | -7.3 |
| Devin McGlockton * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | +4.6 |
| AK Okereke * | 16 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | +0.9 |
| Frankie Collins | 28 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 21 | -9.5 |
| Tyler Harris | 23 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 6 | -1.7 |
| Jalen Washington | 19 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -2.9 |
| Jayden Leverett | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.2 |
| Chandler Bing | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -8.4 |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Kugel * | 34 | 9-19 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 12 | +19.7 |
| Dev. Cambridge * | 31 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | -0.1 |
| Jordan Burks * | 27 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | +5.7 |
| Themus Fulks * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -11.1 |
| John Bol * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | +2.8 |
| Carmelo Pacheco | 20 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +5.8 |
| Jamichael Stillwell | 18 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | +2.8 |
| Chris Johnson | 15 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 4-6 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | +16.0 |
| George Beale Jr. | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -2.9 |
| Jeremy Foumena | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | -0.2 |
| Kris Parker | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +2.8 |
| Elijah Hulsewe | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -6.7 |
* = starter