Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Colorado Buffaloes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.4% | 45.6% | -1.0 | ✓ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado Buffaloes -9 (86-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Fulks | 32 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 6-9 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 19 | -4.1 |
| J. Burks | 32 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | +10.0 |
| J. Stillwell | 30 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | +5.2 |
| Dev. Cambridge | 25 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | +8.1 |
| R. Kugel | 24 | 7-12 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 14 | +8.5 |
| C. Pacheco | 21 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | -2.9 |
| J. Bol | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | +0.4 |
| C. Johnson | 16 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | +3.0 |
Colorado Buffaloes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Johnson | 39 | 7-13 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 13 | -10.1 |
| B. Hargress | 33 | 6-8 | 3-3 | 5-6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 16 | +0.4 |
| S. Rancik | 30 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 17 | -1.7 |
| B. Dak | 28 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | -0.0 |
| J. Holland | 26 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 3-5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | +3.6 |
| A. Michaeli | 21 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | -0.7 |
| F. Kossaras | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -10.1 |
| E. Malone | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +5.3 |
| J. Sanders | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -6.7 |
| I. Inman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.8 |
* = starter