UCF
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1274 (#50) | Preseason prior 1258 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1096, returning -36, transfers +178, freshmen +20 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1156 (#53) | HCA +206 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1153 (#52) | HCA +205 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +3.9 (#119) | HCA +2.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +3.9 (#118) | HCA +2.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.770 (#85) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.661 (#95) | AdjNet +5.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.669 (#95) | AdjNet +5.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.546 (#125) | AdjO 73.1 | AdjD 76.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.545 (#126) | AdjO 73.0 | AdjD 76.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.668 (#90) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.668 (#90) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1221 (#40) | RD 172 | GP 4 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.725 (#73) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | vs | Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | W | 96 - 95 |
| 2026-11-06 | vs | Yale Bulldogs | W | 87 - 75 |
| 2026-11-10 | vs | South Alabama Jaguars | W | 76 - 69 |
| 2026-11-13 | vs | Georgia Southern Eagles | W | 84 - 70 |
| 2026-11-17 | vs | Mississippi State Bulldogs | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-20 | @ | Vanderbilt Commodores | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dior Johnson
|
G | 4 | 34.0 | 29.5 | 3.2 | 4.2 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 15.2 | 23.5 | 54 | 4 | 13.5 | 15.8 | 63.9 | 55.6 | 83.3 | 1.11 | 76.8 | 72.1 |
Arturo Dean
|
G | 4 | 25.0 | 13.0 | 2.2 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 9.5 | 10.0 | 23 | 4 | 5.8 | 9.1 | 47.4 | 33.3 | 66.7 | 0.32 | 56.6 | 52.6 |
Lewis Walker
|
F | 4 | 23.0 | 8.8 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 6.8 | 5.0 | 16 | 4 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 44.4 | 28.6 | 81.8 | -0.06 | 55.0 | 48.1 |
Carmelo Pacheco
|
G | 4 | 21.5 | 7.5 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 6 | 4 | 1.5 | 2.8 | 50.0 | 52.6 | 0 | -0.5 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
Isaiah Malone
|
F | 4 | 19.5 | 6.5 | 5.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4.2 | 7.8 | 35 | 4 | 8.8 | 18.1 | 52.9 | 44.4 | 80.0 | 1.18 | 67.7 | 64.7 |
Riley Kugel
|
G | 4 | 18.0 | 5.2 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 8.2 | 1.5 | 18 | 4 | 4.5 | 9.9 | 27.3 | 6.2 | 66.7 | 0.99 | 30.6 | 28.8 |
John Bol
|
C | 4 | 20.0 | 4.8 | 6.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 2.5 | 9.2 | 13 | 4 | 3.2 | 6.5 | 60.0 | 0 | 58.3 | 0.9 | 62.2 | 60.0 |
Mister Dean
|
G | 2 | 7.0 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.5 | -13 | 2 | -6.5 | -37.9 | 75.0 | 100.0 | 0.0 | -0.76 | 78.8 | 87.5 |
Elijah Hulsewe
|
C | 4 | 8.8 | 3.5 | 3.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 5.2 | 3 | 4 | 0.8 | 3.5 | 77.8 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.06 | 65.1 | 77.8 |
Cayden Vasko
|
G | 4 | 13.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 20 | 4 | 5.0 | 15.3 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.56 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Churchill Abass
|
C | 4 | 10.5 | 2.2 | 3.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 5.2 | 17 | 4 | 4.2 | 16.4 | 100.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.13 | 104.2 | 100.0 |
Jason Asemota
|
F | 3 | 6.7 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 1.0 | -9 | 3 | -3.0 | -18.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.99 | 17.0 | 0.0 |
Ladarius Givan
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Tanner Jones
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Dylan Mann
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Jahda Swann
|
G | 3 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3 | -1.3 | -13 | 3 | -4.3 | -28.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.74 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Alumni in the Pros
Former UCF players in NBA 2026-2027, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last UCF game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.
Active alumni
| Player | At School | League | Team | GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | Last game | Last 30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Hendricks | 2022-25 | NBA | Memphis Grizzlies | 7 | 9.0 | 5.1 | 3.1 | 0.4 | 11-13 10 pts, 12 reb, 2 ast | 7 GP, 5.1 PPG, 3.1 RPG, 0.4 APG |
| Tacko Fall | 2015-19 | NBA | Philadelphia 76ers | 2 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 11-12 0 pts, 0 reb, 0 ast | 2 GP, 0.0 PPG, 0.5 RPG, 0.0 APG |
Alumni around the leagues: recent games
| Date | Player | League | Team | Opponent | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | Box |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | Tyler Hendricks | NBA | Memphis Grizzlies | @ New Orleans Pelicans | 19 | 10 | 12 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-12 | Tacko Fall | NBA | Philadelphia 76ers | vs Toronto Raptors | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-11-11 | Tyler Hendricks | NBA | Memphis Grizzlies | vs Denver Nuggets | 11 | 7 | 2 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-11-09 | Tyler Hendricks | NBA | Memphis Grizzlies | @ Toronto Raptors | 16 | 9 | 3 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-11-06 | Tacko Fall | NBA | Philadelphia 76ers | @ Cleveland Cavaliers | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | Box |
2026-2027 Shot Zones
244 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Dior JohnsonArturo DeanCarmelo PachecoLewis WalkerIsaiah MaloneRiley KugelJason Asemota
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 37-52 | 71.2 | 74 | Arturo Dean 27% (20 pts) | Dior Johnson 24% (18 pts) | Arturo Dean 33% (5 misses) | Cayden Vasko 20% (3 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 32-67 | 47.8 | 64 | Dior Johnson 22% (14 pts) | Arturo Dean 12% (8 pts) | Dior Johnson 26% (9 misses) | Lewis Walker 20% (7 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 7-11 | 63.6 | 14 | Dior Johnson 57% (8 pts) | Lewis Walker 29% (4 pts) | Isaiah Malone 50% (2 misses) | Lewis Walker 25% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 2-4 | 50.0 | 4 | Dior Johnson 100% (4 pts) | - | Lewis Walker 50% (1 misses) | Riley Kugel 50% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 8-17 | 47.1 | 16 | Dior Johnson 88% (14 pts) | Lewis Walker 12% (2 pts) | Dior Johnson 33% (3 misses) | Riley Kugel 22% (2 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 0-2 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Jason Asemota 50% (1 misses) | Riley Kugel 50% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 1-2 | 50.0 | 3 | Carmelo Pacheco 100% (3 pts) | - | Carmelo Pacheco 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Above-break 3 left | 12-35 | 34.3 | 36 | Carmelo Pacheco 42% (15 pts) | Dior Johnson 25% (9 pts) | Arturo Dean 17% (4 misses) | Dior Johnson 17% (4 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 6-21 | 28.6 | 18 | Dior Johnson 50% (9 pts) | Cayden Vasko 33% (6 pts) | Riley Kugel 27% (4 misses) | Carmelo Pacheco 20% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 15-33 | 45.5 | 45 | Carmelo Pacheco 27% (12 pts) | Dior Johnson 27% (12 pts) | Riley Kugel 33% (6 misses) | Arturo Dean 17% (3 misses) |