Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Kansas State Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.3% | 44.7% | -1.2 | ✓ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Kansas State Wildcats -9 (73-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Fulks | 38 | 6-11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 19 | +4.4 |
| R. Kugel | 34 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 5-7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 13 | +8.3 |
| J. Stillwell | 30 | 8-14 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 13 | +3.0 |
| Dev. Cambridge | 25 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 17 | +18.0 |
| C. Johnson | 22 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | +14.9 |
| J. Burks | 18 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | -7.2 |
| J. Bol | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -8.6 |
| C. Pacheco | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -3.7 |
| J. Foumena | 9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | +7.5 |
Kansas State Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Haggerty | 36 | 9-18 | 0-2 | 5-8 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 14 | -1.3 |
| K. McGriff | 33 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | +6.0 |
| T. Manning | 31 | 5-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +5.8 |
| N. Johnson | 30 | 2-9 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 17 | -1.1 |
| A. Bashir Jr. | 25 | 4-13 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | -10.4 |
| D. Castillo | 21 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -9.5 |
| CJ Jones | 16 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3.0 |
| D. Buca | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -15.5 |
* = starter