Model Predictions
| Model | Baylor Bears | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.7% | 53.3% | +0.7 | ✗ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 90.4% | 9.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UCF Knights -1 (86-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Baylor Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Carr | 38 | 6-13 | 4-8 | 10-10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 20 | -4.7 |
| O. Agbim | 36 | 5-9 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | -1.4 |
| T. Yessoufou | 31 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | +5.7 |
| I. Williams IV | 29 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | -0.8 |
| D. Skillings Jr. | 26 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 9 | -2.6 |
| C. Powell | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -5.9 |
| M. Rataj | 19 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | +4.7 |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Kugel | 34 | 10-19 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 18 | +13.9 |
| T. Fulks | 32 | 3-12 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | +2.2 |
| J. Burks | 31 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | -1.4 |
| J. Stillwell | 26 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | +10.0 |
| J. Bol | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 16 | +3.8 |
| Dev. Cambridge | 17 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8 | +7.8 |
| C. Johnson | 16 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | -0.9 |
| E. Hulsewe | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6.4 |
| C. Pacheco | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -0.1 |
| G. Beale | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -11.4 |
| K. Parker | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.4 |
| J. Foumena | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter