Model Predictions
| Model | Cincinnati Bearcats | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.3% | 55.7% | +1.3 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights +1 (66-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Thomas | 42 | 4-14 | 1-7 | 6-7 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| M. Thiam | 42 | 7-14 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 25 | - |
| J. Celestine | 39 | 4-12 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| B. Miller | 33 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 8 | - |
| J. James | 30 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| K. Tillery | 23 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| S. Harris | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| S. Abaev | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| H. Dzellat | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. McKinley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Fulks | 40 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Burks | 39 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| R. Kugel | 35 | 7-17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 1 | - |
| J. Stillwell | 33 | 7-17 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| J. Bol | 31 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| C. Pacheco | 14 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| C. Johnson | 13 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Dev. Cambridge | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Foumena | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| E. Hulsewe | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter