Model Predictions
| Model | Arizona State Sun Devils | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.2% | 71.8% | +5.2 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.4% | 4.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights +3 (79-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arizona State Sun Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Odum | 36 | 5-13 | 3-8 | 5-6 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | +4.8 |
| M. Diop | 33 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11 | +4.8 |
| B. Ford | 27 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | -4.2 |
| S. Trouet | 25 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | -12.7 |
| N. Meeusen | 24 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | +0.6 |
| A. Johnson | 22 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | -0.9 |
| A. Mukeba | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9 | +10.4 |
| A. Grbović | 14 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Fulks | 38 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | +3.6 |
| R. Kugel | 35 | 6-10 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 20 | +15.4 |
| J. Burks | 35 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 13 | -3.7 |
| J. Stillwell | 28 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 10 | +6.2 |
| J. Bol | 24 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 12 | -5.5 |
| C. Johnson | 16 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | -5.1 |
| C. Pacheco | 14 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Dev. Cambridge | 10 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -5 | -6.4 |
* = starter