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2026-02-21

Model Predictions

Model UCF Knights Utah Utes Spread Result
Elo 78.2% 21.8% -
Bradley-Terry 78.1% 21.9% -
Margin 73.0% 27.0% -5.5 (3.5 off)
Pythagorean 61.8% 38.2% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 78.7% 21.3% -
Log Adjusted 78.7% 21.3% -
Points Off/Def 60.4% 39.6% -

Actual: Utah Utes -2 (71-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Fulks 36 11-24 0-1 2-2 1 4 1 0 4 24 2 -
J. Burks 35 5-11 2-5 2-4 4 1 4 1 2 14 11 -
J. Stillwell 31 3-3 0-0 0-0 5 4 1 0 2 6 11 -
J. Bol 23 2-3 0-0 0-1 6 1 1 2 1 4 10 -
C. Johnson 22 3-4 2-3 0-0 0 5 0 1 0 8 10 -
Dev. Cambridge 13 3-4 1-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 7 6 -
J. Foumena 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
C. Pacheco 12 2-2 2-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
G. Beale 12 0-5 0-3 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -2 -
K. Parker 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Utah Utes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Dawes 34 6-9 3-4 0-0 12 3 0 1 3 15 19 -
S. Traore 30 1-8 0-4 0-0 3 3 1 1 0 2 2 -
T. Brown 30 9-15 1-3 2-2 1 4 0 0 3 21 8 -
D. McHenry 29 6-12 4-9 3-3 2 3 0 0 0 19 12 -
J. Okonkwo 24 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 1 0 4 8 -
K. Sanders 20 2-7 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 4 -1 -
O. Abbey 17 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 3 0 0 2 2 4 -
J. Hayes 16 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 4 3 -

* = starter