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2026-02-21

Model Predictions

Model UCF Knights Utah Utes Spread Result
Elo 77.6% 22.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 75.9% 24.1% - โœ“
Margin 69.9% 30.1% -4.6 โœ“ (2.6 off)
Pythagorean 60.9% 39.1% - โœ“
Efficiency 79.2% 20.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 77.0% 23.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 77.0% 23.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 58.6% 41.4% - โœ“

Actual: Utah Utes -2 (71-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Themus Fulks 36 11-24 0-1 2-2 1 4 1 0 4 24 2 +8.9
Jordan Burks 35 5-11 2-5 2-4 4 1 4 1 2 14 11 -2.7
Jamichael Stillwell 31 3-3 0-0 0-0 5 4 1 0 2 6 11 +8.4
John Bol 23 2-3 0-0 0-1 6 1 1 2 1 4 10 +8.3
Chris Johnson 22 3-4 2-3 0-0 0 5 0 1 0 8 10 +6.6
Dev. Cambridge 13 3-4 1-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 7 6 -3.8
Jeremy Foumena 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 -0.3
Carmelo Pacheco 12 2-2 2-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 4 +6.3
George Beale Jr. 12 0-5 0-3 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -2 -9.0
Kris Parker 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +6.5

Utah Utes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keanu Dawes 34 6-9 3-4 0-0 12 3 0 1 3 15 19 +9.8
Seydou Traore 30 1-8 0-4 0-0 3 3 1 1 0 2 2 -4.2
Terrence Brown 30 9-15 1-3 2-2 1 4 0 0 3 21 8 -0.8
Don McHenry 29 6-12 4-9 3-3 2 3 0 0 0 19 12 -6.6
James Okonkwo 24 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 1 0 4 8 +1.6
Kendyl Sanders 20 2-7 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 4 -1 -13.8
Obomate Abbey 17 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 3 0 0 2 2 4 -0.6
Josh Hayes 16 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 4 3 -7.1

* = starter