Model Predictions
| Model | Arizona Wildcats | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.5% | 16.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.2% | 17.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 92.4% | 7.6% | -13.7 | ✓ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 97.0% | 3.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.9% | 7.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.0% | 7.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 76.0% | 24.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights -7 (77-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arizona Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Burries | 32 | 8-14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 5 | -7.4 |
| J. Bradley | 32 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 11-13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 23 | -5.4 |
| M. Krivas | 30 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 22 | +8.7 |
| I. Kharchenkov | 27 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 3 | -5.0 |
| T. Awaka | 27 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6-12 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 17 | +8.4 |
| K. Peat | 20 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -1.0 |
| A. Dell'Orso | 18 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +14.3 |
| D. Aristode | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +10.3 |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Fulks | 35 | 11-18 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 24 | +4.5 |
| J. Burks | 33 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | +0.4 |
| R. Kugel | 32 | 5-18 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | -3 | +6.5 |
| J. Stillwell | 24 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | -1.5 |
| J. Bol | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10.3 |
| J. Foumena | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +3.9 |
| C. Johnson | 17 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | -6.1 |
| Dev. Cambridge | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -12.0 |
| C. Pacheco | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +6.4 |
* = starter