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UCF

Also known as: UCF Knights, UCF
Program History

2025 Team Stats (13 games)

76.9
PPG
80.0
Opp
-2.8
Margin
40.2%
FG%
32.5%
3P%
74.5%
FT%
37.8
RPG
14.5
APG
12.3
TO
86.7
Pace
85.3
AdjO
75.5
AdjD
#65
Rank

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1074 (#113) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1116 (#90) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +9.2 (#68) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.478 (#191) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → 0.479 (#192) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +14.2 More → 0.836 (#65) AdjNet +14.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +14.4 More → 0.840 (#66) AdjNet +14.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 85.3 | AdjD 75.5 More → 0.710 (#65) AdjO 85.3 | AdjD 75.5

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-04 vs Texas A&M Aggies W 64 - 61
2024-11-08 vs Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons W 75 - 68
2024-11-12 vs Florida Atlantic Owls W 100 - 94
2024-11-22 @ Wisconsin Badgers L 70 - 86
2024-11-24 vs LSU Tigers L 102 - 109
2024-11-27 vs Milwaukee Panthers W 84 - 76
2024-12-01 vs California Baptist Lancers W 74 - 59
2024-12-08 vs Tarleton State Texans W 66 - 51
2024-12-14 vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane W 88 - 75
2024-12-31 @ Texas Tech Red Raiders W 87 - 83
2025-01-05 vs Kansas Jayhawks L 48 - 99
2025-01-08 vs Colorado Buffaloes W 75 - 74
2025-01-18 vs Houston Cougars L 68 - 69
2025-01-21 @ Iowa State Cyclones L 83 - 108
2025-01-28 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 87 - 91
2025-02-11 vs Iowa State Cyclones L 65 - 77

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
K. Hall K. Hall - 16 32.6 15.8 6.9 1.8 0.7 0.4 2.4 12.7 10.5 -38 -1.2 -1.4 40.9 35.0 75.9 0.81 52.4 46.1
Darius Johnson Darius Johnson - 16 33.8 14.8 3.1 4.1 2.7 0.2 2.7 11.2 11.1 -5 -0.1 -0.2 40.8 43.4 77.4 2.49 57.4 52.8
J. Ivy-Curry J. Ivy-Curry - 16 31.4 14.8 3.4 2.6 1.1 0.1 1.3 11.1 9.6 5 0.2 0.2 41.0 36.3 84.4 1.23 57.5 51.4
Moustapha Thiam Moustapha Thiam - 15 25.8 8.9 5.4 0.8 0.4 2.5 1.1 7.4 9.5 -6 -0.2 -0.2 46.8 24.0 71.9 1.83 53.2 49.5
D. Coleman D. Coleman - 16 24.6 6.2 4.1 1.1 1.1 0.1 0.8 5.2 6.5 58 1.6 2.6 34.9 28.0 79.4 2.08 50.5 43.4
J. Sellers J. Sellers - 2 17.5 5.5 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 1.5 5.0 2.0 -51 -51.0 -51.0 40.0 33.3 100.0 -0.63 50.6 45.0
M. Williams M. Williams - 5 15.0 5.4 2.0 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.6 6.0 2.2 -128 -5.3 -7.5 36.7 22.2 100.0 -0.95 43.1 40.0
B. Williams B. Williams - 16 14.8 4.5 2.7 0.9 0.5 0.8 0.9 4.1 4.4 -9 -0.5 -1.8 43.1 26.7 57.1 0.03 48.5 46.2
JJ Taylor JJ Taylor - 13 14.9 4.5 2.4 0.8 0.5 0.2 1.3 3.6 3.5 -5 -0.4 -1.2 31.9 18.2 67.6 0.1 46.6 36.2
D. Johnson D. Johnson - 15 8.0 3.0 0.8 0.9 0.4 0.0 0.5 2.3 2.3 18 0.9 2.8 47.1 25.0 91.7 0.61 57.3 50.0
R. Jocius R. Jocius - 15 8.3 2.0 1.3 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.4 2.3 1.1 -16 -1.3 -5.7 42.9 0.0 0 -0.16 42.9 42.9
Nils Machowski Nils Machowski - 12 7.0 1.6 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.2 1.3 2.2 -23 -1.1 -3.6 31.2 25.0 77.8 0.05 47.6 37.5
T. Hendricks T. Hendricks - 8 6.2 1.2 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.4 0.1 1.0 1.6 47 2.5 7.6 50.0 0.0 50.0 0.58 51.2 50.0
P. Warakulnukroh P. Warakulnukroh - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1 -0.5 -22.6 0 0 0.0 -1.64 0.0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG