Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Baylor Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.0% | 75.0% | +6.5 | ✓ (8.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.5% | 88.5% | +11.2 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Baylor Bears +15 (91-76). Ratings: 2024-25 season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Johnson * | 32 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | -14.3 |
| Moustapha Thiam * | 29 | 7-10 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 11 | -9.3 |
| Jordan Ivy-Curry * | 29 | 4-14 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -1 | +0.2 |
| Keyshawn Hall * | 27 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 16 | -17.4 |
| Dallan Coleman * | 24 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | +1.5 |
| Dior Johnson | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Benny Williams | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3.6 |
| Tyler Hendricks | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -12.2 |
| Rokas Jocius | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -4.4 |
| Nils Machowski | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -6.6 |
| Mikey Williams | 6 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | -0.5 |
Baylor Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norchad Omier * | 36 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 21 | +21.3 |
| Robert Wright III * | 32 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -1 | -2.3 |
| VJ Edgecombe * | 27 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | +8.2 |
| Jeremy Roach * | 26 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | +8.9 |
| Josh Ojianwuna * | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Langston Love | 27 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | +20.0 |
| Jalen Celestine | 21 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | +23.3 |
| Jayden Nunn | 20 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | +21.6 |
| Jason Asemota | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| Davidson Hubbard | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.1 |
| Marino Dubravcic | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.0 |
| Omar Adegbola | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
* = starter