Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Texas Tech Red Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 6.1% | 93.9% | +15.0 | ✗ (19.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.8% | 95.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.6% | 95.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Texas Tech Red Raiders -4 (83-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Hall | 36 | 9-13 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 16 | +5.5 |
| D. Johnson | 35 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 8-10 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 19 | +8.1 |
| D. Coleman | 31 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | +12.3 |
| J. Ivy-Curry | 31 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 7-7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | +2.6 |
| M. Thiam | 17 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | -9.3 |
| B. Williams | 17 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +7.2 |
| J. Sellers | 14 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | -3.4 |
| R. Jocius | 9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | +1.2 |
| JJ Taylor | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.2 |
Texas Tech Red Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. McMillian | 36 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | +1.3 |
| K. Overton | 33 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | +0.4 |
| Dar. Williams | 28 | 5-16 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 4 | -4.2 |
| JT Toppin | 28 | 11-19 | 0-2 | 4-8 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 21 | -2.0 |
| E. Hawkins | 24 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | +1.5 |
| C. Anderson | 23 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| F. Federiko | 21 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | -3.8 |
| K. Walton | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.2 |
* = starter