Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Iowa State Cyclones | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.9% | 93.1% | +14.3 | ✓ (10.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.1% | 93.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.9% | 94.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Iowa State Cyclones +25 (108-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Ivy-Curry | 31 | 8-14 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 14 | -15.3 |
| Moustapha Thiam | 29 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | -11.3 |
| Keyshawn Hall | 29 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | -10.2 |
| Darius Johnson | 23 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -11.4 |
| Dallan Coleman | 21 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | -3.7 |
| JJ Taylor | 21 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 3 | -21.2 |
| Mikey Williams | 16 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | -11.3 |
| Dior Johnson | 10 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Benny Williams | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -7.8 |
| Rokas Jocius | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -11.2 |
| Tyler Hendricks | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -9.0 |
| Nils Machowski | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4.9 |
Iowa State Cyclones
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keshon Gilbert | 38 | 10-15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 22 | +27.9 |
| Joshua Jefferson | 36 | 9-14 | 3-4 | 9-12 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 30 | 31 | +33.6 |
| Curtis Jones | 34 | 8-19 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 10 | +17.1 |
| Tamin Lipsey | 28 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | +30.6 |
| Dishon Jackson | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | +5.1 |
| Nate Heise | 19 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | +12.6 |
| Demarion Watson | 11 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 15 | +8.5 |
| Brandton Chatfield | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +5.4 |
| Nojus Indrusaitis | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1.0 |
| Kayden Fish | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
| JT Rock | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
| Cade Kelderman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.0 |
* = starter