Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.3% | 89.7% | +11.9 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.1% | 93.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.7% | 94.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights +7 (75-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Bello * | 35 | 3-12 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | -1 | +2.7 |
| Q. Morton-Robertson * | 32 | 5-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 2 | +1.8 |
| M. Nelson * | 29 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +3.8 |
| J. Jackson * | 24 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | +0.2 |
| E. Mulder * | 20 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | -1.2 |
| C. Hadnot II | 18 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | +4.0 |
| C. Cuthrell | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -4.2 |
| D. Elisee | 14 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -0.4 |
| T. Lewis | 13 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | -4.7 |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Johnson * | 38 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | - |
| J. Ivy-Curry * | 36 | 5-12 | 0-6 | 8-8 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 11 | -1.1 |
| K. Hall * | 33 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 8-9 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 11 | -6.1 |
| M. Thiam * | 26 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 11 | -2.1 |
| D. Coleman * | 20 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | +7.2 |
| JJ Taylor | 15 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -5.8 |
| B. Williams | 15 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | +3.9 |
| N. Machowski | 9 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | +2.6 |
| R. Jocius | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +2.7 |
| D. Johnson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter