Model Predictions
| Model | TCU Horned Frogs | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.1% | 62.9% | +2.9 | ✓ (24.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights +27 (85-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
TCU Horned Frogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Reynolds | 31 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | -20.7 |
| Vasean Allette | 31 | 5-15 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | -7.6 |
| Ernest Udeh Jr. | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | -20.7 |
| Trazarien White | 22 | 4-14 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -3 | -12.5 |
| Brendan Wenzel | 20 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | -15.2 |
| David Punch | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -17.5 |
| Malick Diallo | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -2.9 |
| Isaiah Manning | 14 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | +2.3 |
| Micah Robinson | 13 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -5.6 |
| Jace Posey | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -13.9 |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keyshawn Hall | 34 | 6-13 | 3-5 | 11-13 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 24 | +25.8 |
| Darius Johnson | 32 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 11 | +14.4 |
| Moustapha Thiam | 31 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 17 | +23.7 |
| Jordan Ivy-Curry | 31 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | +28.0 |
| Dallan Coleman | 30 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | +2.1 |
| Mikey Williams | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +15.3 |
| JJ Taylor | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +16.2 |
| D. Johnson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Rokas Jocius | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.7 |
| Benny Williams | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -4.1 |
| Nils Machowski | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +0.1 |
| Tyler Hendricks | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +0.1 |
| Poohpha Warakulnukroh | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -0.9 |
* = starter