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2025-03-11

Model Predictions

Model UCF Knights Utah Utes Spread Result
Elo 56.6% 43.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 52.1% 47.9% - โœ“
Margin 33.6% 66.4% +3.7 โœ— (18.7 off)
Pythagorean 40.8% 59.2% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 46.7% 53.3% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 46.7% 53.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 40.9% 59.1% - โœ—

Actual: Utah Utes -15 (72-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Johnson 36 8-14 2-5 2-2 4 5 2 0 2 20 15 +11.1
Keyshawn Hall 36 5-10 1-3 12-14 3 5 0 0 3 23 18 +15.5
Moustapha Thiam 31 5-9 1-4 3-5 11 1 0 3 3 14 17 +13.5
Nils Machowski 31 3-6 2-5 0-0 7 2 3 0 1 8 13 +16.6
Jordan Ivy-Curry 26 5-8 3-5 2-3 3 2 2 0 1 15 13 +18.1
Benny Williams 12 1-3 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 -5.0
Tyler Hendricks 10 2-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 5 4 +4.5
Dallan Coleman 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -4.3
Dior Johnson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
JJ Taylor 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -5.4
Poohpha Warakulnukroh 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +0.0

Utah Utes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keanu Dawes 38 8-13 0-2 5-6 15 2 2 0 0 21 27 -8.2
Gabe Madsen 35 2-10 2-9 4-5 4 1 3 0 3 10 5 -2.5
Mike Sharavjamts 28 3-12 0-6 0-2 6 4 2 1 0 6 7 -6.2
Lawson Lovering 26 5-11 0-0 1-2 5 1 1 0 1 11 6 -14.2
Jake Wahlin 25 2-5 0-3 3-3 1 4 0 0 3 7 4 -3.3
Hunter Erickson 16 3-5 1-3 0-2 1 2 0 0 0 7 5 -6.7
Zach Keller 15 3-6 0-0 1-3 4 1 0 0 1 7 5 +3.8
Miro Little 12 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 3 2 -3.1
Mason Madsen 5 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -9.3

* = starter