Model Predictions
| Model | Cincinnati Bearcats | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.8% | 64.2% | +2.7 | ✗ (12.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.8% | 44.2% | -1.3 | ✓ (8.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights -10 (83-93). Ratings: 2024-25 season-end ratings.
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Thomas * | 34 | 9-15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 15 | +10.1 |
| Aziz Bandaogo * | 32 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 17 | +20.3 |
| Dillon Mitchell * | 31 | 9-14 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 14 | +20.2 |
| Simas Lukosius * | 29 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +10.3 |
| Jizzle James * | 18 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 15 | +11.9 |
| Dan Skillings Jr. | 17 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| CJ Fredrick Jr. | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +8.3 |
| Tyler Betsey | 12 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +8.0 |
| Josh Reed | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +4.4 |
| Rayvon Griffith | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.6 |
| Arrinten Page | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Johnson * | 37 | 8-15 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 12 | -14.6 |
| Keyshawn Hall * | 37 | 8-18 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 10 | -20.1 |
| Moustapha Thiam * | 32 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 12 | -4.6 |
| Jordan Ivy-Curry * | 30 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | -0.2 |
| Dallan Coleman * | 26 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | +0.5 |
| Benny Williams | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -5.1 |
| Dior Johnson | 11 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| JJ Taylor | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -11.5 |
| Rokas Jocius | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -6.4 |
| Mikey Williams | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -9.5 |
| Nils Machowski | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.2 |
* = starter