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2025-01-28

Model Predictions

Model UCF Knights Kansas Jayhawks Spread Result
Elo 41.1% 58.9% -
Bradley-Terry 27.3% 72.7% -
Margin 9.8% 90.2% +12.2 (8.2 off)
Pythagorean 36.3% 63.7% -
Efficiency 36.4% 63.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 9.9% 90.1% -
Log Adjusted 9.5% 90.5% -
Points Off/Def 25.0% 75.0% -

Actual: Kansas Jayhawks +4 (91-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Hall 39 9-19 5-7 11-11 7 3 1 0 3 34 23 -2.1
D. Johnson 37 6-15 5-8 2-4 3 5 4 0 2 19 14 +9.0
D. Coleman 37 1-7 1-7 2-2 7 2 1 0 0 5 8 -2.9
J. Ivy-Curry 33 4-10 2-5 0-0 7 8 1 1 1 10 16 +3.4
M. Thiam 27 8-17 1-5 0-0 5 1 1 0 0 17 7 -13.7
M. Williams 7 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 2 2 -4.2
B. Williams 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 +7.8
R. Jocius 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 +5.3
D. Johnson 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
N. Machowski 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 +0.2

Kansas Jayhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Mayo 38 8-20 6-10 2-2 9 5 0 0 4 24 14 +7.9
H. Dickinson 34 7-17 0-0 10-12 7 0 1 2 0 24 17 +2.8
F. Bidunga 29 4-5 0-0 2-2 11 2 2 5 1 10 24 +2.3
D. Coit 28 4-8 4-8 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 12 8 +7.2
R. Griffen 26 2-5 0-2 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 4 5 +4.3
K.J. Adams Jr. 26 3-6 0-0 6-7 5 2 1 0 0 12 14 +4.2
S. Moore 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 2 -4.9
AJ Storr 7 0-3 0-1 5-6 3 0 0 0 2 5 3 -1.2
R. Passmore 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -4.0

* = starter