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2025-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Houston Cougars UCF Knights Spread Result
Elo 87.0% 13.0% -
Bradley-Terry 84.4% 15.6% -
Margin 93.4% 6.6% -14.6 (13.6 off)
Pythagorean 63.1% 36.9% -
Efficiency 63.0% 37.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 95.1% 4.9% -
Log Adjusted 95.2% 4.8% -
Points Off/Def 78.7% 21.3% -

Actual: UCF Knights -1 (68-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Roberts 36 10-17 0-0 1-2 9 1 0 0 2 21 12 +6.5
L.J. Cryer 36 2-13 2-7 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 6 -3 +9.3
M. Uzan 35 4-11 0-2 0-0 3 5 1 1 0 8 7 +2.4
E. Sharp 28 4-11 1-6 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 9 1 +10.4
J. Francis 25 5-6 0-0 6-6 10 0 0 1 1 16 20 -2.0
M. Wilson 18 3-6 0-0 1-2 5 1 1 0 1 7 7 -10.2
J. Tugler 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 2 2 +9.0
T. Arceneaux 10 0-3 0-1 0-1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -1 -8.1

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Hall 35 2-12 0-3 2-6 11 3 0 0 5 6 3 -6.4
M. Thiam 34 7-10 1-2 3-4 5 1 0 3 0 18 17 +1.6
D. Johnson 32 5-16 3-7 0-0 3 4 1 0 4 13 1 +2.4
J. Ivy-Curry 30 4-10 2-7 4-4 3 0 0 1 0 14 8 -8.5
D. Coleman 29 3-6 1-3 1-1 5 2 0 0 3 8 6 -5.9
M. Williams 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 2 5 +5.8
JJ Taylor 11 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 2 +6.0
B. Williams 8 0-1 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 +5.6
D. Johnson 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
R. Jocius 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.9

* = starter