Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Cougars | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.6% | 12.4% | -16.1 | ✓ (15.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 81.7% | 18.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 93.3% | 6.7% | -14.5 | ✓ (13.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.1% | 4.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.2% | 4.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights -1 (68-69). Ratings: 2024-25 season-end ratings.
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J'Wan Roberts * | 36 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 12 | +6.5 |
| L.J. Cryer * | 36 | 2-13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -3 | +9.3 |
| Milos Uzan * | 35 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | +2.4 |
| Emanuel Sharp * | 28 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | +10.4 |
| Joseph Tugler * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +9.0 |
| Ja'Vier Francis | 25 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 20 | -2.0 |
| Mylik Wilson | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | -10.2 |
| Terrance Arceneaux | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -8.1 |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keyshawn Hall * | 35 | 2-12 | 0-3 | 2-6 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 3 | -6.4 |
| Moustapha Thiam * | 34 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 17 | +1.6 |
| Darius Johnson * | 32 | 5-16 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 1 | +2.4 |
| Jordan Ivy-Curry * | 30 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 8 | -8.5 |
| Dallan Coleman * | 29 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | -5.9 |
| Mikey Williams | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +5.8 |
| JJ Taylor | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +6.0 |
| Benny Williams | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +5.6 |
| Dior Johnson | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Rokas Jocius | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
* = starter