Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Cougars | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.0% | 13.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 84.4% | 15.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 93.4% | 6.6% | -14.6 | ✓ (13.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.1% | 4.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.2% | 4.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 78.7% | 21.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights -1 (68-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Roberts | 36 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 12 | +6.5 |
| L.J. Cryer | 36 | 2-13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -3 | +9.3 |
| M. Uzan | 35 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | +2.4 |
| E. Sharp | 28 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | +10.4 |
| J. Francis | 25 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 20 | -2.0 |
| M. Wilson | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | -10.2 |
| J. Tugler | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +9.0 |
| T. Arceneaux | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -8.1 |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Hall | 35 | 2-12 | 0-3 | 2-6 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 3 | -6.4 |
| M. Thiam | 34 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 17 | +1.6 |
| D. Johnson | 32 | 5-16 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 1 | +2.4 |
| J. Ivy-Curry | 30 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 8 | -8.5 |
| D. Coleman | 29 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | -5.9 |
| M. Williams | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +5.8 |
| JJ Taylor | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +6.0 |
| B. Williams | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +5.6 |
| D. Johnson | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Jocius | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
* = starter