Model Predictions
| Model | Texas A&M Aggies | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 75.0% | 25.0% | -6.0 | ✗ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.3% | 17.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.7% | 17.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UCF Knights +3 (64-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas A&M Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Dockery | 7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2.4 |
| W. Taylor IV * | 34 | 4-15 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | +4.6 |
| J. Carter * | 30 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | -0.7 |
| S. Washington * | 29 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| P. Payne * | 22 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 13 | -0.2 |
| H. Hefner * | 14 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | +4.8 |
| A. Garcia | 26 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | +8.3 |
| M. Obaseki | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | -9.4 |
| H. Coleman III | 12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | +6.5 |
| CJ Wilcher | 11 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -4.9 |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Johnson * | 38 | 6-13 | 5-11 | 7-8 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 20 | +0.2 |
| J. Ivy-Curry * | 35 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 6-8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | -0.1 |
| D. Coleman * | 26 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +7.7 |
| K. Hall * | 23 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +3.8 |
| M. Thiam * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -10.4 |
| JJ Taylor | 22 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 5-8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 13 | +5.5 |
| B. Williams | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +9.4 |
| R. Jocius | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -11.6 |
| N. Machowski | 5 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +1.1 |
| D. Johnson | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter